Tennessee voters made history Tuesday, electing Republican Marsha Blackburn as the state's first female governor, but the race was far closer than many might have expected in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in statewide elections.
Blackburn, who will succeed term-limited Gov. Bill Lee, defeated Democrat Jerri Green by fewer than three percentage points. It was a sharp contrast to Lee's reelection four years ago, when he won by approximately 32 percentage points.
With more than 2 million votes cast statewide, Blackburn finished with 957,136 votes to Green's 902,953, a difference of just 54,183. Independent David Hatley also made a showing, collecting 195,564 votes and keeping either major-party candidate from reaching 50 percent.
White County voters were far less divided. Blackburn carried the county with 4,756 votes to Green's 1,837, while Hatley picked up another 1,299. The independent candidate's share of the local vote was approximately 16 percent, considerably higher than his 9.3 percent statewide showing.
While White County remained firmly Republican, Green gained ground elsewhere in Tennessee. She carried Davidson and Shelby counties, traditional Democratic strongholds, along with Knox, Hamilton, Rutherford, Montgomery and Madison counties, all five of which had supported the Republican presidential ticket in 2024.
The shift extended beyond those five counties. Compared with the 2024 presidential election, all 95 Tennessee counties moved toward Democrats, although Blackburn maintained enough support across the state to secure the win.
Blackburn addressed supporters at The Pinnacle in downtown Nashville around 10 p.m. Tuesday, declaring a win before the race had officially been called.
“Tennessee did not just elect a governor, it chose a direction,” Blackburn told the crowd.
She said the election showed that Tennesseans wanted a governor who would lead according to conservative principles, pointing to lower taxes, affordable housing, crime prevention and parental choice in education among her priorities.
Blackburn also pledged to begin assembling her administration immediately.
“As your governor, I will tap the best and the brightest to be a part of our administration to ensure we move Tennessee forward,” she said.
In Chattanooga, Green conceded shortly before 11 p.m., acknowledging the disappointment of falling short while encouraging her supporters to continue working for the issues that brought them into the campaign.
“Tonight isn't the result we wanted,” Green said. “I know and understand this hurts.”
Green pointed to opposition to school vouchers, rural health care concerns and the influence of money in politics as issues that would remain important beyond Election Day.
“This was just one battle in the future for our state, and it was not the end of the fight,” she said.
Green also told supporters that she intended to remain involved in Tennessee politics.
Blackburn's election marks another milestone in a political career that has included service in the Tennessee Senate, the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. In 2018, she became the first woman elected to represent Tennessee in the U.S. Senate. Eight years later, she will become the first woman to serve as the state's governor.
Blackburn will take office in January as Tennessee's 51st governor, replacing Lee, who could not seek a third consecutive term.
Her move to the governor's office will also create a vacancy in the U.S. Senate. Under Tennessee law, the governor can appoint an interim replacement to serve until voters fill the seat in the next regularly scheduled general election in 2028.
That means Blackburn will have the opportunity to select her own temporary successor in Washington after taking office.
Blackburn's historic win puts her in the governor's office, but the narrow margin also gives her a much different political landscape than the one Lee faced when he won reelection four years ago.